Track record

Accuracy

Every locked prediction is scored against the official classification, including penalties. We keep live results and after-the-fact backtests strictly separate — no blended vanity numbers.

Live accuracy

2 scored

Winner hit rate

Podium hit rate

Avg grid corr.

85%

Avg H2H

43%

R11 86.4%R12 82.9%

Backtest evidence

8 scored

Backtests run the same pipeline on already-completed rounds, using only data available before each session. They establish a baseline before the live season — clearly labeled, never counted as live results.

Winner hit rate

38%

Podium hit rate

Avg grid corr.

73%

Avg H2H

50%

R1 47.3%R2 70%R3 78.1%R4 77.3%R5 76.4%R6 57.8%R8 94.4%R9 79.9%

How we score

Winner: did our P1 win? Podium: weighted accuracy of our top three (exact slot full, right-driver-wrong-step half; a “hit” is 60%+). Grid correlation: rank correlation between our predicted order and the official result, mapped to 0–100%. H2H: share of teammate battles called correctly. Full method on the method page.