Round 4 · 2026 · Predictions
Published and locked before each session, then scored against the official result. Below, every session the model has called.
Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) is the pick for the Grand Prix on current form and championship standing, with RUS and LEC the closest challengers. Conditions look largely settled.
Andrea Kimi Antonelli lands win for the Grand Prix on an average finish of 1.3 across recent rounds and 72 championship points. The Mercedes package suits this circuit's demands, and the head-to-head form points the same way. Chief risk is a poor start or an ill-timed safety car.
George Russell lands the runner-up spot for the Grand Prix on an average finish of 2.3 across recent rounds and 63 championship points. The Mercedes package suits this circuit's demands, and the head-to-head form points the same way. Chief risk is a poor start or an ill-timed safety car.
Charles Leclerc lands the final podium step for the Grand Prix on an average finish of 3.3 across recent rounds and 49 championship points. The Ferrari package suits this circuit's demands, and the head-to-head form points the same way. Chief risk is a poor start or an ill-timed safety car.
BEA: A clean start and an offset strategy could vault Oliver Bearman well beyond the grid's expectations — the raw pace is closer than the order suggests.
ANT has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
LEC has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
NOR has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
VER has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
BEA has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
LAW has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
BOR has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
GAS has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
SAI has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
PER has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
STR has the stronger recent race-pace and tyre profile of the two.
| Team | Top 3 | Top 6 | Points | 2 fin. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Ferrari | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| McLaren | · | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Alpine F1 Team | · | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Haas F1 Team | · | · | ✓ | ✓ |
| RB F1 Team | · | · | ✓ | ✓ |
| Red Bull | · | · | ✓ | ✓ |
| Williams | · | · | · | ✓ |
| Cadillac F1 Team | · | · | · | ✓ |
| Audi | · | · | · | ✓ |
| Aston Martin | · | · | · | ✓ |
input context SHA-256: dde4183af8d1cfafb5e0cc30… · model: offline-heuristic-v1
Picks are closed — this session has started. Results and the leaderboard land after the flag.
Predictions are generated by an AI model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. Backtest sets were generated after the fact from data available before the session, and are never mixed into live accuracy.