PolePredictbeta

2026 · 6 rounds to go

Season outlook

Championship win probabilities from a transparent model: current points plus expected points still on the table, with leads hardening as the season closes. Updated after each round.

Simple points-and-form model · not a per-session forecast

Drivers’ title

  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli55%
  • George Russell10%
  • Lewis Hamilton9%
  • Max Verstappen8%
  • Charles Leclerc7%
  • Lando Norris5%
  • Oscar Piastri2%
  • Isack Hadjar1%

Constructors’ title

  • Mercedes87%
  • Ferrari9%
  • McLaren2%
  • Red Bull1%
  • RB F1 Team0%
  • Alpine F1 Team0%
  • Haas F1 Team0%
  • Audi0%