PolePredictbeta

2026 · 11 rounds to go

Season outlook

Championship win probabilities from a transparent model: current points plus expected points still on the table, with leads hardening as the season closes. Updated after each round.

Simple points-and-form model · not a per-session forecast

Drivers’ title

  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli6%
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli5%
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli5%
  • Lewis Hamilton3%
  • George Russell4%
  • Lewis Hamilton3%
  • Lewis Hamilton4%
  • George Russell3%

Constructors’ title

  • Mercedes14%
  • Mercedes12%
  • Mercedes21%
  • Ferrari7%
  • Ferrari10%
  • Ferrari6%
  • McLaren5%
  • McLaren3%